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Topic: SPC Oct 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 18 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2024

Valid 261300Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

...Discussion...
A progressive and semi-amplified large-scale pattern will persist,
with mean upper ridging over the Rockies/High Plains and broad
troughing over the eastern CONUS. This flow regime ensures richer
moisture/instability will remain suppressed across lower latitudes
as northwesterly flow aloft dominates much of the country east of
the Rockies. A surface cold front will continue to settle
south-southeastward today across the southern Appalachians, Lower
Mississippi Valley and ArkLaTex. Boundary-layer heating will be
prominent especially within a corridor from the southern Arklatex to
northern Alabama and South Carolina. Forecast soundings suggest some
potential for lightning discharge in the deepest updrafts, although
lightning-producing convection is expected to remain rather sparse,
and mainly during the afternoon through early evening hours.

..Guyer/Leitman.. 10/26/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html)