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SPC MD 1584

SPC MD 1584

[html]MD 1584 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 500... FOR NORTHEAST OHIO ACROSS NEW YORK AND INTO VERMONT
       
MD 1584 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1584
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 PM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

Areas affected...northeast Ohio across New York and into Vermont

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500...

Valid 250427Z - 250600Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500
continues.

SUMMARY...Sporadic severe gusts remain possible tonight along the
length of the watch area.

DISCUSSION...Despite gradual boundary-layer cooling and areas of
outflow, the air mass remains sufficiently warm and unstable to
support downward transfer of stronger winds aloft. A gust just below
severe limits was recently measured at SYR at 48 kt with a
low-topped cell.

Storms have gradually beco*e more widespread near a cold front, and
strong southwesterly winds just above the surface will maintain
positive theta-e advection and an unstable air mass. In addition,
height falls will continue with the short wave trough, helping to
counteract the cooling low levels.

Given mainly straight-line hodographs and strong winds off the
surface, damaging gusts should be the primary threat. Embedded
rotation could still develop within some of the larger storm
co*plexes, especially if they can beco*e oriented closer to
north-south.

..Jewell.. 07/25/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

LAT...LON   41338067 41148145 41348179 41678140 42128039 42607948
            43137923 43467901 43767785 44807579 45227452 45247276
            44867248 44167266 43067320 42837559 41338067


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Source: SPC MD 1584 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1584.html)