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Topic: SPC Oct 13, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (Read 10 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 13, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC Oct 13, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

[html]SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
     
Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 PM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED FOR GRAPHICS

...SUMMARY...
A couple of thunderstorms are possible over the Four Corners and
parts of the Ohio Valley toward the Great Lakes on Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
A positively tilted mid-level trough will progress across the
eastern U.S., with surface high pressure sweeping across the Plains
toward the Gulf and East Coasts on Tuesday. A weakening mid-level
cut-off low will continue to meander over the Four Corners region.
Cool surface conditions and static stability will beco*e established
over much of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm development over most
locales. However, a couple of thunderstorms may occur over portions
of the OH Valley toward the southern Great Lakes, as cooler
temperatures aloft may encourage steep low to mid-level lapse rates
by afternoon. Similarly, cooler mid-level temperatures and
orographic lift near the mid-level cut-off low over the Four Corners
may support a few lightning flashes as well.

..Squitieri.. 10/13/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 13, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html)