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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...19z Update...
Confidence has increased, with the latest model guidance, that at
least a few hours of 15-20 mph surface winds may develop over parts
of the eastern Great Basin. While not overly strong, these winds
should overlap with pockets of afternoon minimum RH of 15-20% and
receptive fuels with recent fire activity. This suggests at least
some risk for elevated fire-weather conditions. Otherwise, the prior
outlook remains valid, see the discussion for additional
information.

..Lyons.. 10/10/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1159 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024/

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging will prevail east of the Rockies while a mid-level
trough will impinge on the West Coast tomorrow (Friday). Though some
surface troughing may develop across the Southern Plains, high
pressure will dominate across most of the CONUS, encouraging dry
conditions, but with light or variable winds, limiting widespread
significant wildfire-spread concerns. The best chance for localized
wildfire-spread conditions to develop would be the Great Basin by
afternoon peak heating, where RH will be below 15 percent on a
widespread basis. Still, doubts of a stronger surface wind field
developing, co*bined with only modestly receptive fuels, suggest
that fire weather highlights are not currently needed.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)