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Topic: SPC Oct 8, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (Read 19 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 8, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 8, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
     
Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND KEYS...

...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes are possible across the Florida Peninsula and
Florida Keys as Hurricane Milton moves across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico and Florida on Wednesday into early Thursday.

...Florida...

The latest National Hurricane Center forecast calls for Hurricane
Milton to make landfall along the west-central Florida coast
Wednesday night or early Thursday. As the hurricane tracks northeast
across the eastern Gulf on Wednesday, low to midlevel southeasterly
flow will increase across the Keys and Peninsula. This will result
in increasing SRH and enlarged, looping low-level hodographs amid a
very moist airmass (mid 70s F dewpoints). The increasing flow field
across Florida will coincide with peak heating, resulting in
sufficient instability to maintain isolated stronger updrafts within
outer rainbands that may approach the area by afternoon. Favorable
conditions for a few tropical cyclone related tornadoes will persist
into the nighttime hours.

..Leitman.. 10/08/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 8, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html)