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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0209 PM CDT Wed Oct 02 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previous forecast remains on track with no adjustments required.
Consideration was made for introducing an Elevated risk area across
central NE to far western IA where winds will likely reach to near
20 mph. However, latest ensemble guidance shows somewhat poor
agreement regarding post-frontal RH reductions and only 20-40% of
reaching elevated wind/RH thresholds. Additionally, recent
deterministic solutions have demonstrated a slight dry bias across
the Plains, which introduces further uncertainty. Trends will
continue to be monitored and highlights may be needed in subsequent
forecasts.

..Moore.. 10/02/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Wed Oct 02 2024/

...Synopsis...
The upper-level pattern will start to beco*e less zonal on Thursday
with a ridge traversing the Northwest and some troughing developing
over the Upper Midwest. The surface pattern will be somewhat
nebulous during the day Thursday with surface high pressure building
into the northern Plains. Some breezy northeasterly flow may develop
in portions of the Plains as this high moves south and the pressure
gradient tightens. However, winds do not look that strong at this
time, and the cooler airmass should lead to relative humidity mostly
above 25 percent. Therefore, some localized elevated conditions are
possible, but no Elevated delineation is justified at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...