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Topic: SPC Oct 2, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 23 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 2, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 2, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 AM CDT Wed Oct 02 2024

Valid 021630Z - 031200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

...Synopsis...
Latest visible satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a
quasi-stationary surface boundary extending across portions of
northern FL. South of the boundary, diurnal heating of a moist air
mass, coupled with sea breeze circulations, will support scattered
diurnal thunderstorm development. Deep tropospheric moisture and
steepening low-level lapse rates may support a few wet microbursts
with strong-gust potential over central FL -- where any localized
clustering occurs. However, weak deep-layer shear and poor midlevel
lapse rates should limit the organization and intensity of storms.

..Weinman.. 10/02/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 2, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html)