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SPC MD 1571

SPC MD 1571

[html]MD 1571 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 493... FOR SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN
       
MD 1571 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1571
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

Areas affected...southeast Wisconsin...western Lower Michigan

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493...

Valid 232329Z - 240130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts remain possible with an MCS as it
moves from eastern Wisconsin across Lake Michigan. An additional
watch may be needed over western Lower Michigan.

DISCUSSION...Storms have developed into a more organized MCS over
the past hour with measured severe winds near 50 kt. The leading
edge of the outflow is now moving east at around 40 kt, with a more
laminar/contiguous radar presentation.

The air mass over Lower MI overall is less unstable than over WI,
with up to 1000 J/kg MLCAPE analyzed. Isolated cells over northern
MI have dwindled over the past hour, further suggesting increasing
inhibition. That said, the outflow surge with the MCS is strong, and
may persist into Lower MI. If storm trends remain favorable as
storms cross the lake, a new watch could be needed.

..Jewell.. 07/23/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...GRB...LOT...MKX...

LAT...LON   43008983 43108931 43298875 43678828 43968808 44238813
            44548832 44808760 45008609 44838543 44568515 43798489
            43328520 42488789 42388883 42648953 43008983


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Source: SPC MD 1571 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1571.html)