SPC MD 1568
SPC MD 1568
[html]MD 1568 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR EAST-CENTRAL CO...NORTHWEST KS AND SOUTHWEST NE
Mesoscale Discussion 1568
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0252 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022
Areas affected...far east-central CO...northwest KS and southwest NE
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 231952Z - 232115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms may produce strong, locally
damaging gusts into early evening.
DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop soon
ahead of a southeastward advancing cold front. Visible satellite
imagery shows towering cumulus ahead of the front from Yuma County
CO toward Frontier County NE. Strong heating amid mostly clear skies
has allowed temperatures to soar to near 105 degrees with dewpoints
in the upper 40s to low 50s. Steep midlevel lapse rates greater than
8 C/km are aiding modest midlevel instability while a very deeply
mixed boundary-layer is providing steep low-level lapse rates and
DCAPE values greater than 1300 J/kg. Large scale ascent and
effective shear will remain weak over the region, but the cold front
should provide enough focus of brief convection capable of strong to
severe outflow winds. A watch is not expected at this time given the
isolated and transient nature of the threat.
..Leitman/Guyer.. 07/23/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 40230151 40810025 40860007 40839992 40769974 40489939
40029929 39809933 39529952 39180007 38900153 38900198
39100237 39320254 39610251 39740238 40230151
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Source: SPC MD 1568 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1568.html)
Topic: SPC MD 1568 (Read 39 times)
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