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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0448 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

Valid 301200Z - 061200Z

An upper-level trough will move over the northern Plains and western
Great Lakes early next week followed by strong zonal flow aloft
along the US-Canadian border. A cold front will sweep southeast
through the northern/central Plains and Upper Midwest D3/Monday and
to the Gulf and East Coasts D5/Wednesday. Another cold front will
slide south through the northern Intermountain West and northern
Plains D4/Tuesday - D5/Wednesday. A thermal trough will extend
through northwest California to off the southwest Oregon coast into
mid-next week, with well above normal temperatures extending from
the Desert Southwest through California and into portions of the
central Intermountain West. 

...D3/Monday: central/northern Plains...
A dry cold front will push southeast across the northern and central
Plains D3/Monday, with gusty winds overlapping low RH behind it.
Widespread elevated conditions are expected, and an area of critical
conditions is currently most likely in western/central Nebraska.
Forecast uncertainty remains regarding the timing of the front and
eastward extent of the dry air that will be monitored in subsequent
outlooks. 

...D4/Tuesday - D6/Thursday: northern Intermountain West and
northern/central High Plains...
Another dry cold front will push south through the northern
Intermountain West and northern Plains with strong westerly flow
aloft. Dry/breezy west-northwest winds are likely across the
northern Intermountain West onto portions of the northern/central
Plains beginning possibly on D4/Tuesday, with higher chances of
dry/breezy conditions D5/Wednesday. The area of concern will shift
south on D6/Thursday from the Sierra Front across portions of the
Great Basin into Wyoming. While elevated conditions are likely
across portions of these areas during this period, there is too much
forecast uncertainty to delineate areas at this time.

...D3/Monday - D5/Wednesday: northwest California and southwest
Oregon...
Offshore winds are likely to develop at times, most likely overnight
on mid/upper slopes, in portions of southwest Oregon and northwest
California. The overlap of critical winds/RH will likely be
relatively sporadic and isolated but will be monitored going
forward.

...D5/Wednesday - D6/Thursday: southern/central Plains...
Dry and breezy southerly winds are forecast to develop on portions
of the southern/central Plains mid to late next week. Elevated
conditions are possible if not likely, but there remains too much
forecast uncertainty to issue probabilities of critical conditions
at this time.

..Nauslar.. 09/28/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...