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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0210 PM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

A small Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of
south-central NV. Latest guidance continues to show reasonably good
agreement in sustained 15 mph winds across this region with no
appreciable moisture recovery expected over the next 24 hours. The
spatial extent of 15+ mph winds appears to be greater in recent
model solutions, which has increased confidence in observing at
least a few hours of meeting elevated wind/RH criteria over a region
with drying fuels. Windier/drier solutions also hint that gusts
upwards of 20-25 mph are possible and may support very localized and
transient critical fire weather conditions. See the previous
discussion below for additional details.

..Moore.. 09/27/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/

...Synopsis...
Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across
the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough
within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast.
Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher
wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized
elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe
National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to
decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind
potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the
forecast at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...