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Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1232 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
A risk for a few tornadoes and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts
exists from the central Appalachians into the Carolinas and southern
Virginia on Friday.

...Central Appalachians and Southern Mid-Atlantic...

The expansive, enhanced low/midlevel flow field on the eastern
periphery of the remnants of Hurricane Helene will impact the
central Appalachians east to portions of coastal SC/NC/southern VA
through Friday afternoon/evening. Convective bands will likely be
ongoing Friday morning across the Pee Dee region of SC, and lift
northward through the afternoon. As a dry slot punches quickly
north/northeast behind this band of convection, the severe risk will
quickly co*e to an end from south to north by late afternoon or
early evening. Supercell wind profiles, with enlarged, looping
low-level hodographs are evident in forecast soundings around the
region. Strong 0-1 km SRH and surface dewpoints in the mid 70s F
(resulting in favorable low-level instability) will support a
tornado risk with cells within the northward moving convective
bands. Furthermore, given the already strong low-level flow field,
strong thunderstorm wind gusts also will be possible. 

...TN/OH Valley vicinity...

Strong winds will likely occur from the central Appalachians
westward across the OH/TN Valley vicinity as Helene tracks
north/northwest and beco*es absorbed by the mid/upper cyclone over
the Mid-South region. However, these gusty winds will be tied to the
transitioning tropical system, and less influenced by convective
processes, precluding severe probabilities.

..Leitman.. 09/26/2024