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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0333 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

In general, fire weather concerns will be on a downward trend across
most areas. Upper-level zonal flow will begin to amplify this
weekend. A series of troughs will impact the West while ridging will
generally remain across the East through the period. Precipitation
and cooler temperatures over a broad area of what have been dry
fuels should moderate the fire environment for many areas west of
the Divide and into some of the Plains.

...Great Basin...
As the trough approaches the region this weekend into early next
week, some areas of dry and windy conditions are possible both along
the Sierra Front as well as into the southern/eastern Basin. Ongoing
large fire activity near the Sierra could experience stronger winds,
but RH may also be higher along with the winds on Sunday. Further
co*plicating the forecast, cooler temperatures and precipitation
along with the initial weekend trough and another trough by the
middle of next week will reduce fire weather concerns. These areas
will continue to be monitored, but the overall pattern suggests
critical fire weather potential is too low for highlights at this
time.

...Plains...
With troughing expected in the West, troughing along the Rockies is
expected to persist into at least the middle of next week. Winds
across the Plains may increase periodically as the trough/surface
lows intensify. At present, the strongest winds are expected on
Tuesday when the initial trough ejects into the central/northern
Plains. While there are dry fine fuels in place in some areas, there
is also precipitation possible. Unlike the previous southerly flow
from the last several days, greater surface moisture will already be
present and will likely increase to some degree with the persistent
flow from the open Gulf. That said, it is not clear where the
greatest fire weather concerns will develop. Trends will continue to
be monitored in the co*ing days.

..Wendt.. 09/12/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...