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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0733 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024

Valid 060100Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms capable of producing isolated severe wind gusts and
hail will remain possible through mid evening across parts of the
southern Rockies.

...01z Update...

Notable mid-level short-wave trough, currently located over southern
CO, is digging south-southeast in line with latest model guidance.
This feature is forecast to progress into southern NM by the end of
the period. Scattered robust convection has developed ahead of this
feature which has produced several severe wind gusts over the last
few hours. 00z sounding from ABQ exhibited a dry adiabatic lapse
rate in the lowest 3km, with steep mid-level lapse rates. While PW
values are not particularly high, adequate moisture is available for
efficient downbursts. Over the next few hours, scattered
strong/locally severe storms will propagate toward southern NM with
an attendant risk for severe gusts, or even marginally severe hail.
However, boundary-layer cooling should lead to weakening updrafts in
the next few hours and the severe threat will lessen markedly after
03-04z.

..Darrow.. 09/06/2024