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SPC MD 2020

SPC MD 2020

[html]MD 2020 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 658... FOR NORTHEAST IL INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST IN/SOUTHWEST MI
       
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Mesoscale Discussion 2020
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Areas affected...Northeast IL into extreme northwest IN/southwest MI

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 658...

Valid 272324Z - 280100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 658
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat will spread southeastward through early
evening.

DISCUSSION...A supercell has developed across far northeast IL, with
reports of severe wind gusts and hail up to golf ball size thus far.
Large to extreme instability will continue to support vigorous
updrafts early this evening. Deep-layer shear beco*es increasingly
modest with southward extent, but will remain locally enhanced near
a lake-enhanced surface boundary draped northwest to southeast
across the Chicagoland vicinity. The ongoing supercell may propagate
southeastward near this boundary, with a continued threat of large
hail and severe/damaging gusts.

There is some potential for additional development near the trailing
outflow, with increasing cumulus noted in Kane County. Depending on
the number and proximity of storms that develop early this evening,
some upscale growth into a southeastward-moving cluster will be
possible with time. Downstream watch issuance is possible if a
severe threat begins to approach northwest IN/southwest MI.

..Dean/Gleason.. 08/27/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...

LAT...LON   42488833 42458779 42398760 42088668 41808633 41518637
            41258654 41188716 41288767 41548817 41828869 42388855
            42488833


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Source: SPC MD 2020 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2020.html)