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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0436 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

Valid 281200Z - 031200Z

A co*pact midlevel low, acco*panied by strong deep-layer
west-southwesterly flow, will advance eastward across the
Montana/Canadian border on Day 3/Wednesday. This will promote strong
surface winds across portions of the northern/central Rockies and
adjacent High Plains -- in the vicinity of a related cold front. As
a result, locally elevated fire-weather conditions will be possible
over portions of Montana and Wyoming; however, a limited overlap of
the strong winds/low RH and/or marginal fuels limit confidence in
the potential for critical conditions -- precluding probabilities at
this time. As the midlevel low continues eastward on Day 4/Thursday,
strong post-frontal winds will overspread the northern Plains.
Similarly, marginal fuels and a limited overlap with low RH should
mitigate the overall fire-weather risk. 

Late in the extended forecast period (around Days 7-8/Sunday
-Monday), medium-range guidance is in reasonably good agreement,
depicting an upper low moving ashore over the Pacific Northwest.
Associated ascent and midlevel moisture overspreading the Cascades
and areas east may favor a dry thunderstorm risk. With that said,
Dry Thunderstorm probabilities have been withheld for now, given
lingering uncertainties on overall timing/evolution of the upper low
and fuel receptiveness.

..Weinman.. 08/26/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...