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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0403 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024

Valid 191200Z - 251200Z

Elevated fire weather conditions are likely across the Great Basin
through the extended, with critical fire weather conditions
possible. The driving factors for this regime will be a blocking
pattern, where an upper-level ridge over the central US will support
persistent hot/dry conditions across the Great Basin across the
southern Rockies, into the Southern Plains. Given poor fuel moisture
recovery beneath this ridge, especially across the Great Basin, any
increase in wind speed (including terrain driven circulations) will
result in at least elevated fire weather conditions. Late in the
forecast period (Day 7/8), large-scale guidance suggests an increase
in mid-level flow may result in surface wind speeds sufficient for
critical fire weather conditions. However, uncertainty in the
timing/magnitude of the large-scale pattern evolution precludes the
ability to denote areas of concerns late next week.

..Marsh.. 08/17/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...