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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1116 AM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms, capable of localized severe gusts and
perhaps hail, are possible during this afternoon and evening over
parts of the Intermountain West and into the High Plains.

...Intermountain West into the central and northern High Plains...
A general lack of cloud cover this morning over most of the outlook
area will allow ample afternoon heating to occur, supporting both a
deep mixed layer and modest destabilization yielding 500 to 1000
J/kg CAPE above the mixed layer.

With a number of weak disturbances/vorticity maxima moving through
moderate/generally westerly mid-level flow across the Intermountain
West, development of isolated to scattered thunderstorms is forecast
this afternoon.  Given the aforementioned westerlies (generally 25
to 35 kt) providing ample shear for organized -- and possibly
upscale growing -- convection locally, some severe risk (mainly in
the form of gusty/damaging winds) is evident.  Risk may be locally
greater where storms can congeal into eastward-moving clusters, but
overall a MRGL risk remains the general expectation through this
evening.

..Goss/Weinman.. 08/10/2024