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Mesoscale Discussion 1823
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1102 AM CDT Mon Aug 05 2024

Areas affected...far southern South Carolina...Southeast
Georgia...central and northeast Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 596...

Valid 051602Z - 051700Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 596 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated tornado threat will persist through the day
today.

DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Debby is slowly moving north through
portions of northwest Florida. An extensive region of banded
precipitation extends from the eastern eyewall into the western
Pacific and across the Florida Peninsula. Instability has been
mostly weak amid persistent stratiform rain across northeast Florida
and southeast Georgia. Greater instability has developed with more
broken cloudcover across central Florida where lightning activity
has been focused. However, surface winds are veered in this region
and thus, the tornado threat is somewhat muted. 

The wind profile sampled by the JAX VWP remains quite favorable for
low-level updraft organization and tornado potential. If greater
instability can develop along the coast later today, an increasing
tornado threat is possible from southeast Georgia into eastern South
Carolina as the wind field expands northward.

..Bentley.. 08/05/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   31528246 32398147 32608068 32448025 31988026 30978087
            30068110 29378084 28638068 27938094 27158128 26898194
            26868258 27048301 27918297 28908264 30038256 31528246