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Mesoscale Discussion 1789
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 PM CDT Thu Aug 01 2024

Areas affected...southern Indiana into central KY

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588...

Valid 011951Z - 012115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging gusts of 50-65 mph remain possible across
southern Indiana into central Kentucky this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...An organized bow will continue to track east across
Kentuckiana this afternoon. While the intensity of the bow has
decreased somewhat co*pared to earlier, the VWP from KVWX shows rear
inflow around 40-50 kt. Additional discrete cells have also
developed ahead of the bow. Re-intensification of the bow may occur
as storm mergers/interactions occur, and damaging gust potential may
increase over the next hour or so. The downstream airmass remains
very warm/moist, with a corridor of MCLAPE around 2000-2500 J/kg
noted in 19z mesoanalysis. Vertical shear remains somewhat modest
and may be limiting factor in producing a more widespread damaging
wind swath. Nevertheless, isolated to widely scattered gusts in the
50-65 mph range appear likely over the next few hours.

..Leitman/Bunting.. 08/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON   39128701 39168582 38748523 38008528 37478566 37168620
            37118687 37168764 37578844 37838838 38238795 39128701