SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM CDT Thu Aug 01 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
Only minor adjustments have been made to the dry thunderstorm areas
to reflect current forecast guidance. Significant uncertainty
remains in thunderstorm coverage from northern California into
Washington, but sufficient instability, dry, well mixed
boundary-layer profiles, and at least weak/glancing forcing for
ascent could result in some isolated dry thunderstorm activity over
receptive fuels.
..Halbert/Squitieri.. 08/01/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Thu Aug 01 2024/
...Synopsis...
Along the western periphery of an expansive midlevel anticyclone
centered over the central Rockies/Intermountain West, a midlevel
vorticity maximum will advance northward from southern CA into OR
through the period. Preceding this feature, a plume of sufficient
midlevel moisture, atop a diurnally deepening boundary layer, will
support isolated to widely scattered high-based thunderstorms.
Storms will develop over CA during the afternoon, and gradually
spread/develop northward (in tandem with the vorticity maximum)
across the Northwest into the overnight hours. Given dry fuels
across many of these areas, isolated lightning-induced ignitions
will be possible. Confidence in thunderstorm development is lower
with northward extent into WA, though sufficient instability and
glancing ascent ahead of a midlevel trough could still yield
isolated storms.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)