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Topic: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (Read 11 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024

Valid 311200Z - 061200Z

A mid-level trough will eject into the Plains states as an upper
ridge beco*es established across the Interior west through the
remainder of the period. During the week, warm and dry conditions
will continue and perhaps intensify over areas west of the Rockies,
potentially priming fuels in the process. Dry/breezy conditions and
any dry thunderstorms should be sparse and possibly localized, with
no Critical or dry thunderstorm probabilities introduced through Day
5 (Friday).

By the weekend into next Monday (Days 6-8) though, mid-level
monsoonal moisture should pivot around the upper ridge and rotate
northward into northern California, to points east of the Cascades,
fostering isolated thunderstorm potential. These storms are likely
to be dry in nature, and are poised to overspread critically dry
fuels supporting efficient lightning-induced ignitions. Though
considerable uncertainty remains regarding exactly where and when
lightning will occur this far in advance, the volatile nature of the
fuels and overall likelihood of thunderstorms at some point this
weekend into next Monday warrant the introduction of isolated dry
thunderstorm probabilities.

..Squitieri.. 07/29/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/)