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SPC MD 1324

SPC MD 1324

[html]MD 1324 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST WV INTO SOUTHWESTERN VA
       
MD 1324 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1324
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1239 PM CDT Sat Jul 02 2022

Areas affected...Southeast WV into southwestern VA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 021739Z - 021945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms capable of isolated damaging wind gusts are
possible this afternoon. Watch issuance is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have recently intensified across
southeast WV, along an outflow generated from a weakening storm
cluster to the north across central WV. Relatively strong
heating/destabilization downstream of these storms will promote
storm maintenance, with additional development possible across parts
of southwest VA. This area is generally south of the stronger
deep-layer flow/shear, with rather weak vertical shear noted in the
KFCX VWP. However, moderate buoyancy and steepening low-level lapse
rates will support an isolated damaging wind risk with any stronger
cells and/or outflow-driven clusters. Due to the relatively
disorganized nature of the threat, watch issuance is unlikely.

..Dean/Grams.. 07/02/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...

LAT...LON   36618147 36678202 36758219 36918221 37128208 37338179
            37998051 38067989 38067964 37577900 37057899 36817921
            36677998 36618147


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Source: SPC MD 1324 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1324.html)