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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0122 AM CDT Wed Jun 22 2022

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...Synopsis...
Upper-level ridging centered within the Plains will retrograde
westward during the day today. A weak cut-off low, currently off the
southern California coast on water vapor imagery, will remain
quasi-stationary before being pushed northeastward by the
retrograding ridge late in the period.

Fire weather concerns will be focused within southern California and
within a small portion of the southern Great Basin. Both areas will
see potential for a few dry thunderstorms as moisture continues to
work its way westward around the ridge. Parts of southern Utah into
far northwest Arizona will likely have lower PWAT values and see
more traditional dry thunderstorms. Within southern California,
current GPS PWAT retrievals show values over 1 inch nudging into the
southern border. Forecast soundings tomorrow indicate that PWAT
values will likely be near or exceed 1 inch over much of the area.
Furthermore, storm coverage could approach scattered categorical
designation given the influence of the cut-off low. Low-levels will
be quite dry. Dewpoint depressions of 40-50 F are depicted in
forecast soundings tomorrow afternoon. Even with fairly high PWAT
values, a mix of wet and isolated dry storms is likely given the
low-level moisture profile. Area fuels are generally at or slightly
below seasonal dryness and will support ignition.

..Wendt.. 06/22/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html)