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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 PM CDT Sat Jun 18 2022

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO
SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...

The forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed.
Critical fire weather conditions remain likely for portions of
northern AZ into southeastern UT Sunday afternoon. Briefly critical
conditions may emerge across portions of west/northwestern UT during
the early afternoon, but are not expected to persist due to a cold
frontal passage. The Elevated risk area has been expanded into this
region to account for this relatively short-duration concern. See
the previous discussion below for additional details.

..Moore.. 06/18/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CDT Sat Jun 18 2022/

...Synopsis...
As the upper-level trough slowly lifts northeast, continued strong
mid-level flow will exist across the eastern Great Basin on Sunday.
Within the Plains, the tough approaching will promote a surface
cyclone within the northern High Plains along with a strong lee
trough extending into the central High Plains.

...Arizona/Utah...
Elevated to critical fire weather is possible during the afternoon.
The greatest potential for critical fire weather will be where the
mid-level jet will be positioned during the afternoon. Strong
surface winds of 20-30 mph will be probable. RH could again reach
the single digits in some places, with most others seeing 15-20%.

...Central High Plains...
Conditions are likely to be windier on Sunday than previous days
given the deeper lee trough. However, continued moisture return
northward on Saturday evening/overnight will also co*plicate the RH
forecast. Even typically dry-biased models show borderline RH of
20-25%. There is even some potential for isolated thunderstorms to
move into the area off the higher terrain as well. Overall,
marginally elevated fire weather is expected.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...