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Topic: SPC Jun 14, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 46 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jun 14, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Jun 14, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0717 AM CDT Tue Jun 14 2022

Valid 141300Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS...MIDWEST...AND MID ATLANTIC STATES....

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging winds are
possible within the northern Red River Valley vicinity, portions of
the Mid-Atlantic, and portions of the Mid-Missouri Valley.

...ND/MN...
A long-lived cluster of intense thunderstorms is tracking
northeastward across eastern ND.  These storms are expected to
persist and move into Saskatchewan by late morning.  Locally
damaging wind gusts and hail will remain possible in these areas.
Please refer to WW 366 and MCD 1162 for further details.

...Mid-Atlantic...
Multiple severe MCSs from last night have diminished, with the
remnant light precipitation and MCVs noted over WV/western
VA/western NC.  This activity will track into a very moist and
potentially unstable air mass from SC into MD, where at least
isolated thunderstorm development is expected.  Any storms that can
beco*e robust will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts.
However, model guidance does not provide much confidence in the
details of the scenario this afternoon.

...NE/IA/MN...
A cold front is sagging southeastward across parts of the central
Dakotas.  This boundary is expected to stall over NE/IA, providing a
focus for late afternoon thunderstorm development.  Initial activity
will likely be supercellular, but will move northward into the
cooler boundary layer air and be slightly elevated.  Nevertheless,
large hail and locally damaging winds are possible.  By mid-evening,
storms are expected to be rather widespread along the boundary, with
an increasing risk of locally damaging wind gusts.

..Hart/Dean.. 06/14/2022


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Source: SPC Jun 14, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html)