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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Mon Jun 13 2022

Valid 140100Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHERN
INDIANA INTO NORTHWEST OHIO...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the
northern Plains, and from portions of the Midwest into the Great
Lakes and Ohio Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few
tornadoes are possible. Some of the winds could be significantly
severe (75+ mph) across parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley tonight.

...Synopsis...
Supercell thunderstorms within northeast Illinois/northwest Indiana
and far southern Michigan continue to track southeastward. They are
moving into an airmass that was impacted by an earlier cluster of
storms in central Indiana into southwestern/south-central Ohio. The
airmass within northern Indiana into northwest Ohio has maintained
upper 80s F temperatures. This area will likely support the greatest
potential for widespread damaging wind gusts (some 75+ mph) should
the semi-discrete storms congeal this evening. Farther south, modest
airmass recovery has occurred into central Indiana and some wind
threat would exist if storms move farther south than currently
anticipated.

Another cluster continues into West Virginia. This well-developed
MCS will continue to encounter weaker upper-level flow and modestly
decreasing buoyancy. A threat for damaging winds will likely
continue for a few more hours, however.

Within the northern Plains, scattered storm development continues
along the cold front. Mid-level flow will beco*e more meridional
with time. Shear will remain sufficient for organized storms, but a
messy storm mode is expected. Any discrete supercells will be
capable of large to very large hail. Should clustering occur later
this evening, a greater wind damage threat may evolve. Some winds
could reach 75+ mph.

..Wendt.. 06/14/2022