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SPC MD 1141

SPC MD 1141

[html]MD 1141 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...FAR NORTHERN IOWA...FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN
       
MD 1141 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1141
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0540 AM CDT Mon Jun 13 2022

Areas affected...Southern Minnesota...Far Northern Iowa...Far
Western Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 131040Z - 131315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat may develop across parts of
southern Minnesota and far northern Iowa over the next couple of
hours. But the threat is expected to remain too marginal for weather
watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar from Minneapolis shows
a short line segment just north of the Iowa state-line, with a warm
advection wing of storms extending east-southeastward across parts
of southern Minnesota. The storms are located along a gradient of
moderate instability extending east-southeastward. As the storms
move east-northeastward, they will move into weaker instability
across southeast Minnesota. For this reason, some weakening is
expected to occur. However, there is some uncertainty.

..Broyles/Hart.. 06/13/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...

LAT...LON   43649515 43309464 43339352 43439220 43499162 43829125
            44139125 44449141 44669177 44669254 44479453 44039518
            43649515


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Source: SPC MD 1141 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1141.html)