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Mesoscale Discussion 1060
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CDT Mon Jun 06 2022

Areas affected...Eastern CO...Western KS...OK Panhandle...Far
northern TX Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315...

Valid 062340Z - 070115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for hail and locally severe wind gusts
continues, with some potential for the severe wind risk to increase
in coverage this evening.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing across
eastern CO into western KS, with occasional supercell structures
noted. While instability is relatively limited (MLCAPE generally
500-1000 J/kg), favorably veering wind profiles noted on the KPUX
VWP will continue to support supercell potential in the short term,
with a corresponding hail threat. 

Recent radar/satellite data indicate expanding outflows across
eastern CO, with an 82 mph wind gust noted in Lamar, CO at 2231 UTC.
Outflow consolidation may support some clustering with time, as
storms propagate eastward along a weak surface boundary that extends
into west-central KS. This could result in a somewhat more
widespread severe-wind threat for a time this evening into western
KS, where strong heating has resulted in steep low-level lapse
rates. Some severe threat may spread out of WW 315, and either local
watch extension or new watch issuance may be needed to cover the
threat further east with time.

..Dean/Hart.. 06/06/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   39490374 39530363 39320103 38809966 38039917 37139933
            36749991 36510033 36420083 36280166 36280244 36520289
            37010294 39490374