SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 PM CDT Thu Jun 02 2022
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
Models continue to show potential for a subtle shortwave trough
moving through the southern Great Basin Friday morning. Mid-level
winds will tend to decrease during the late morning and afternoon.
Given the less than optimal timing of this feature and its modest
strength, the surface gradient is expected to remain disorganized.
Some locally elevated fire weather conditions are still possible,
however. Coverage of dry thunderstorms west of the higher terrain
still appears too low for highlights as well.
..Wendt.. 06/02/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Thu Jun 02 2022/
...Synopsis...
Mid-level shortwave ridging over the Four Corners is forecast to
de-amplify and shift eastward Friday under the influence of an
approaching Pacific Trough. Subtle height falls and an increase in
mid-level flow should result in the development of weak surface low
over the Great Basin. While weak, this low may support locally gusty
surface winds across portions of the Southwest. With warm
temperatures in place, a few hours of locally elevated fire weather
conditions may develop within dry fuels. Model guidance shows most
areas will not see surface winds greater than 15 mph, suggesting a
limited duration for any fire weather concerns. Additionally,
lingering moisture across central and eastern NM may support a few
thunderstorms in the afternoon. While lightning may occur with these
likely high-based and drier storms, coverage appears too low to
warrant dry thunder probabilities.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)