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Topic: SPC May 26, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 58 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC May 26, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC May 26, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Wed May 25 2022

Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible, primarily
across the central Gulf Coast states tonight.

...01z Update...

Center of upper low is currently located over northern OK. This
feature will move slowly northeast tonight as stronger flow advances
downstream into the lower MS/western TN Valley region. While bands
of strong/severe convection have developed well ahead of this
feature, primary surface front may beco*e more convectively active
later this evening across AR/LA. Both LCH and LZK exhibited
weak/minimal inhibition in their 00Z soundings and isolated
thunderstorms are now forming along the boundary across AR. As weak
mid-level height falls spread across this region there appears to be
some chance for renewed convection along the front later this
evening. Earlier corridor of strong/severe thunderstorms across
MS/AL has shifted a bit downstream and a few robust storms may
linger across this region with some attendant threat for locally
strong winds or perhaps a brief tornado.

Elsewhere, scattered showers/thunderstorms persist from the TN
Valley into the southern Great Lakes region. Overall trends have
been down with this activity but modest shear and ample buoyancy
will likely continue to support at least a few robust updrafts this
evening. Primary risk appears to be locally gusty winds.

..Darrow.. 05/26/2022


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Source: SPC May 26, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html)