SPC MD 784
SPC MD 784
[html]MD 0784 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 227... FOR EASTERN NY...MUCH OF VT...SOUTHERN NH...WESTERN/CENTRAL MA...CT
Mesoscale Discussion 0784
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1148 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022
Areas affected...Eastern NY...Much of VT...Southern
NH...Western/Central MA...CT
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227...
Valid 161648Z - 161815Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227
continues.
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms capable of hail and damaging wind gusts
remain possible across the region this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Temperatures have warmed into the mid 70s to lower 80s
across the region, resulting in air mass destabilization. Recent
mesoanalysis indicates little to no convective inhibition remains
over the region. The cold front is currently well west of the
region, but increasing large-scale forcing for ascent within the
broad warm-air advection regime has been enough to initiate
thunderstorms. Enough buoyancy and shear are in place to support
supercells capable of damaging wind gusts and isolated hail, with
hail most likely during initial/early updraft development.
..Mosier/Grams.. 05/16/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...
LAT...LON 42787485 44037465 44487360 44277259 43787202 42927180
41747194 41167318 41407425 42787485
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Source: SPC MD 784 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0784.html)
Topic: SPC MD 784 (Read 48 times)
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