SPC MD 702
[html]MD 0702 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHERN MN
Mesoscale Discussion 0702
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0615 PM CDT Mon May 09 2022
Areas affected...Northern MN
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 092315Z - 100045Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...If convection can be sustained along the front this
evening, a brief tornado and/or strong wind gust will be possible.
DISCUSSION...c*nvection in gradually increasing across northern MN
along and ahead of a cold front. Some destabilization is ongoing
downstream of this development, though low-level moisture remains
relatively limited. Deep-layer shear is quite strong (effective
shear of 70+ kt per recent mesoanalyses) across the region, which
could aid in the development of an organized storm or two, but may
also tend to inhibit deep convection given the limited instability.
Any stronger storm that can be sustained will pose a threat of a
brief tornado and/or strong wind gusts, given the strong low-level
flow/shear resulting from a 50+ kt low-level jet. For now, it
appears that the threat will remain too isolated and marginal for
watch issuance.
..Dean/Thompson.. 05/09/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DLH...
LAT...LON 48499382 48509299 48079277 47429275 47129284 46929337
46839364 46859397 47189398 48499382
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Source: SPC MD 702 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0702.html)
Topic: SPC MD 702 (Read 91 times)
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