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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 AM CDT Fri Apr 08 2022

Valid 081700Z - 091200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN co*BINED PANHANDLES AND
WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS...

No changes to the ongoing forecast. Please see the previous
discussion for more details.

..Wendt.. 04/08/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Fri Apr 08 2022/

...Synopsis...
A deep upper trough over the Great Lakes will drift slowly to the
east as a strong mid-level jet along the backside of the trough
overspreads the central CONUS. A second trough and strong mid-level
flow will move onshore across the Pacific Northwest and northern
Great Basin later tonight. Gusty northwesterly winds will be
widespread from the northern and central Plains to the Gulf Coast,
supporting a broad area of Elevated to Critical fire weather
conditions. Fire concerns will slowly diminish overnight as
southerly winds return.  

...Central Kansas and Nebraska...
Dry donwslope flow will continue across the central Plains ahead of
the secondary trough approaching the Rockies. Enhanced by strong
diurnal/mechanical mixing, and the lingering surface pressure
gradient, widespread 20-25 mph surface winds are expected by early
afternoon. Coincident with 15-20% surface RH, the gusty winds and
extremely dry fuels will support widespread Critical Fire weather
conditions across the central Plains. Winds will begin to weaken
near sunset switching to southerly overnight, ending the risk for
sustained fire weather conditions. 

...Western Oklahoma and the eastern Texas Panhandle...
Similar to the central Plains, widespread gusty northwesterly flow
will continue across the TX panhandle and western OK. Enhanced by
deep vertical mixing along the western periphery of the jet aloft,
sustained winds of 20-25 with gusts of 30-35 mph will likely support
widespread fire weather concerns within sub 20% RH. Given large
areas of exceptionally dry fuels where multiple fires have occurred
over the preceding days, several hours of critical conditions are
likely.  

...Southeast Texas and southern Louisiana...
Strong northwesterly flow will continue along the backside of the
upper low from the Plains to the Gulf Coast. Unusually dry and windy
conditions will extend eastward across the Mississippi Delta into
portions of the Southeast where, despite recent rainfall, volatile
fuels are in place. Widespread surface humidity near and below 30%,
along with surface winds of 10-15 mph will support a broad area of
fire weather concerns from east TX, across LA and into southern MS
and AL. The highest confidence in sustained 20+ mph surface winds is
expected beneath the core of the upper jet across southeast TX and
southwestern LA. Here, hi-res ensemble and deterministic guidance
show several hours of favorable overlap between strong winds and low
humidity, supporting Critical fire weather concerns.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...