SPC May 6, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
[html]SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Thu May 05 2022
Valid 060100Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EASTERN TX NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN TN/SOUTHEAST KY...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe storms remain possible this evening from parts of
central and eastern Texas northeastward into parts of the Tennessee
Valley. Locally damaging wind and hail will be the primary threats.
...Central/eastern TX northeastward into eastern TN/KY...
Extensive convection is ongoing this evening from central/eastern TX
northeastward into parts of eastern TN/KY. Convection across TX/LA
is largely anafrontal behind the co*posite front/outflow, though
moderate to locally strong buoyancy and 40-50 kt effective shear (as
noted on 00Z CRP and LCH sounding) will support occasional stronger
storms for at least a few more hours this evening, with hail and
locally damaging wind as the primary threat.
Further east, stronger cells are ongoing across the warm sector
across central into northeast MS. Moderate buoyancy/shear will
support occasional storm organization before MLCINH increases later
this evening. Convection across southeast KY/eastern TN may persist
until around 02-03Z with a localized hail/wind risk, before storms
weaken later tonight.
Overnight, some redevelopment is possible across parts of the
Ark-La-Miss as a midlevel low begins to impinge on the region,
though guidance varies on the location and intensity of any such
redevelopment. Isolated hail could acco*pany stronger storms late
tonight.
..Dean.. 05/06/2022
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Source: SPC May 6, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html)