Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0743 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

Valid 251300Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOWER GREAT
LAKES TO SOUTH TX...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated damaging winds are possible from the Lower Great Lakes to
south Texas beginning this afternoon. Isolated severe hail may also
occur in south Texas.

...LA to South TX...
A wavy cold front extends from northwest LA to the Edwards Plateau
of west TX. This boundary should slowly slide south through the day,
aided by occasional convective development along and behind it. This
will result in the frontal zone beco*ing further divorced from the
southern extent of strong mid-level westerlies over the Red River
Valley. In addition, warm-sector low-level winds will remain weak,
limiting SRH. Nevertheless, rich boundary-layer moisture
characterized by low 70s surface dew points will support a plume of
1500-2500 J/kg MLCAPE this afternoon ahead of the front. Scattered
to numerous thunderstorms are expected by early afternoon and will
persist into at least early evening. This setup should yield several
slow-moving multicell clusters capable of locally strong gusts.
Isolated severe hail will also be possible, but should tend to be
more favored closer to the Rio Grande where mid-level lapse rates
remain steeper. 

...KY to the Lower Great Lakes...
Weak convection is ongoing across the Lower OH Valley to western TN
along and behind an eastward-moving cold front. As surface
temperatures warm through the 70s to mid 80s farther downstream of
this activity, a well-mixed boundary layer is expected as dew points
largely hold in the mid to upper 50s. This should result in a plume
of meager buoyancy with MLCAPE reaching around 500 J/kg amid weak
mid-level lapse rates. Renewed/intensifying convective development
is expected towards early afternoon. While much of the stronger 500
mb flow will lag behind the surface cold front, adequate 850-700 mb
southwesterlies in conjunction with the steep low-level lapse rates
should support sporadic strong gusts as semi-organized clusters
spread east-northeast into early evening.

..Grams/Jewell.. 04/25/2022