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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 AM CDT Tue Sep 06 2022

Valid 061300Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DELAWARE BAY
VICINITY...

...SUMMARY...
A brief tornado is possible across the Delaware Bay vicinity into
early afternoon.

...DE/NJ/Far eastern MD...
An MCV near Washington D.C. should drift towards the NJ coast
through this afternoon. Stratiform rain and abundant cloud coverage
will limit diurnal destabilization to the east-southeast of the MCV
track where a confined corridor of 0-1 km SRH from 150-200 m2/s2
would conditionally support a brief waterspout/tornado threat.
Consensus of guidance suggests that surface temperatures only into
the upper 70s will be necessary for deeper convection to be
realized, which is plausible given the presence of these from the
Hampton Roads into the eastern shore of MD. In addition, some hr**
members suggest deeper convection is possible through about midday,
with enough signal to warrant a low probability for a tornado.

..Grams.. 09/06/2022