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Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0104 AM CDT Thu Sep 01 2022

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.

...Synopsis...

A weak mean mid/upper level trough will persist from the Midwest
toward the Northeast on Saturday. Stronger westerly deep-layer flow
will remain over Ontario and Quebec, with vertical shear beco*ing
quite weak over the central/eastern CONUS. A strong upper
anticyclone will remain over the Great Basin/southwestern states,
while a co*pact shortwave trough migrates across the Pacific
Northwest and northern Rockies. 

At the surface, a moist airmass will be in place across the southern
Plains into the MS/OH Valley and Southeast. A cold front will extend
from northern Lower MI into northwest OK Saturday morning and sag
slowly east/southeast through the period. Pockets of moderate to
strong destabilization are possible across the warm sector. However,
weak large-scale ascent and poor vertical shear will limit organized
severe-thunderstorm potential. Sporadic strong gusts aided by
water-loaded downdrafts could occur across parts of the southern
Plains to the OH/TN Valley vicinities, but overall
severe-thunderstorm potential appears low.

..Leitman.. 09/01/2022