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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 PM CDT Wed Apr 20 2022

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...

Critical fire weather highlights were expanded a bit westward and
southward to reflect the latest guidance consensus in 20+ mph
sustained southwesterly winds overlapping 15 percent RH atop very
dry fuels tomorrow/Thursday afternoon. Otherwise, the previous
forecast (see below) remains on track.

..Squitieri.. 04/20/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0211 AM CDT Wed Apr 20 2022/

...Synopsis...
An amplified large-scale trough and enhanced southwesterly midlevel
flow will overspread the western states, while a dryline develops
over parts of West Texas. Farther east, high pressure will continue
moving eastward across the western Atlantic waters.

...Southwest into the southern High Plains...
Behind the dryline, breezy southwesterly surface winds will overlap
widespread 10-15 percent minimum RH. Over parts of the Texas
Panhandle, deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong southwesterly
flow aloft will favor sustained surface winds of 20-25 mph with
gusts upwards of 30 mph. These conditions, co*bined with very dry
fuels, will result in critical fire-weather conditions.

...Central High Plains...
While strong southerly return flow is expected over parts of the
central High Plains, confidence in the overlap of the strong surface
winds and low RH is too low to introduce highlights at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)