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Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0147 AM CDT Mon Aug 22 2022

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging is expected to persist across the Southwest and Four
Corners region on Wednesday, as an upper low over the Pacific
Northwest remains largely stationary. A subtle shortwave trough may
move northeastward in the corridor between the upper ridging and
upper low, moving across southern ID into southwest MT Wednesday
afternoon. Lift attendant to this shortwave will contribute to
scattered thunderstorm development as it interacts with the moist
and buoyant air mass over the northern Rockies. A strong storm or
two is possible, but weak vertical shear should keep the overall
severe potential low.

Monsoon moisture will remain in place over the Southwest and central
Rockies, supporting afternoon thunderstorms. A convectively
augmented shortwave and attendant surface low will continue to
slowly drift eastward across the Southeast states, with numerous
thunderstorms expected over the region throughout the day.

..Mosier.. 08/22/2022