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SPC MD 1689

SPC MD 1689

[html]MD 1689 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA
       
MD 1689 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1689
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022

Areas affected...Northeast Texas into central Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 171851Z - 172045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple strong to near severe wind gusts are possible
this afternoon. A watch is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are developing within parts of the
northern Sabine Valley. At 1814Z, a weak thunderstorm core collapsed
over the TYR ASOS site and produced a 39 kt wind gust. With
temperatures rising into the mid 90s to near 100 F south of the wind
shift, a couple more strong to near severe (mostly 35-45 kts) wind
gusts are possible as storms mature and collapse. Storm organization
will be rather weak, which can be seen on KSHV radar with the amount
of outflow produced by the nearby convection. A watch is not
expected this afternoon.

..Wendt/Thompson.. 08/17/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON   32099575 32769574 32969492 32619340 31929205 31289207
            31319342 31819511 32099575


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Source: SPC MD 1689 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1689.html)