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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1148 AM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

Valid 161700Z - 171200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Northern Sierra and southern Cascades Dry Thunder...
Confidence in thunderstorm development along the higher terrain has
decreased further this morning as much of the monsoon moisture plume
remains farther south. With only weak ascent moving inland and scant
buoyancy available, the risk for dry lightning appears very low. A
lightning flash or two may still be possible with weak convection
anchored to the terrain, but coverage will be too low to maintain
probabilities for dry thunder. As such, the IsoDryT area has been
removed. See the prior discussion for additional information.

..Lyons.. 08/16/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022/

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging will prevail across the western and central CONUS
today, with weak forcing/surface wind fields limiting significant
wildfire-spread concerns across most of the CONUS. The primary
exception would be portions of the Pacific Northwest, where richer
monsoonal moisture should begin to impinge on the Pacific Northwest.
By late afternoon/early evening, a thunderstorm or two could develop
across the southern Cascades. Despite the very low probability of
thunderstorm development, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights were
maintained for the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook given the presence of
very dry fuels across the region.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...