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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0242 AM CDT Thu Aug 11 2022

Valid 141200Z - 191200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A mid/upper-level trough is forecast to persist across the eastern
half of the CONUS next week, resulting in seasonably dry and stable
conditions for most areas east of the Mississippi River. Periodic
bouts of convection will be possible from the Great Plains into the
lower MS Valley and Gulf Coast vicinity, within a weak northwesterly
flow regime. However, with generally modest instability and
deep-layer shear, and the forecast lack of stronger embedded
shortwaves within the large-scale trough, the organized
severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to remain relatively low,
with limited predictability for any localized severe potential that
might evolve through most of next week.