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Topic: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (Read 5 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0417 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025

Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

Fire weather concerns will remain low in the D3/Thursday through
D8/Tuesday period. A broad upper-low will linger across the
southeastern US as heights rise with an upper-level ridge building
in the western US. The building upper-level high in the west will
bring warming and drying conditions but generally light winds will
keep fire concerns low. Some breezy/dry conditions may overlap as a
shortwave traverses the northern periphery of the ridge across
Montana/North Dakota on D3/Thursday.

Late in period D6/Sunday into D8/Tuesday, a trough is progged to
develop across the western Pacific. Increased southwesterly flow
aloft will overspread the Great Basin region, bringing likely
overlap of wind/dry conditions ahead of potential for more
precipitation. Fuels in this region are generally below seasonal
averages for dryness, owing to recent scattered shower and
thunderstorm activity. Though some drying is forecast in ERC
modeling, it is unlikely fuels will be overly receptive for fire
spread, leading to low confidence in including any areas at this
time.

..Thornton.. 05/06/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/)