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SPC MD 1658

SPC MD 1658

[html]MD 1658 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517... FOR NORTHERN PLAINS
       
MD 1658 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1658
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0722 PM CDT Fri Aug 05 2022

Areas affected...Northern Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 517...

Valid 060022Z - 060145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 517
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across the entire watch region.

DISCUSSION...c*nvection that developed due to strong surface heating
has gradually expanded in areal coverage along/near surface boundary
draped across ww517. This activity is rooted within the boundary
layer along an instability axis that continues to favor new updrafts
forming along the wind shift. Over the last half hour or so,
scattered convection has gradually increased northeast of FAR where
low-level warm advection is a bit stronger along the northeastern
plume of steepest low-level lapse rates. In the absence of strong
large-scale support aloft, it appears convection will struggle to
move appreciably east of the primary instability reservoir. However,
with time, a gradually expanding elongated zone of strong/severe
thunderstorms should advance across ww517.

..Darrow.. 08/06/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON   43200226 47119717 47099458 43229988 43200226


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Source: SPC MD 1658 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1658.html)