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Topic: SPC Dec 24, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 3 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Dec 24, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Dec 24, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0359 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2024

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
At least some severe-weather potential is expected across East Texas
and the Deep South for Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5. On
Friday/Day 4, a secondary shortwave trough may evolve across the
southern Plains in the wake of the shortwave trough related to
Thursday's/Day 3 severe potential. While some severe storms could
occur across east/southeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex on Friday/Day
4, details of available buoyancy are uncertain, especially given the
short periodicity between these mid-level systems. Similarly, a
severe storm risk could shift eastward toward the Lower
Mississippi/Mid-South on Saturday/Day 5, but confidence in 15+
percent probabilities is currently limited. Severe storm potential
is then expected to be relatively low into Days 6-8 Sunday-Tuesday.


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Source: SPC Dec 24, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)