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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0323 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024

Valid 111200Z - 171200Z

...Days 3/Wednesday - Southern California...
As a trough exits the southwest on D3/Wednesday, the surface high
across the Great Basin will shift east over the Rockies with
weakening surface gradients and as a result weakening of winds.
Given the potential for a long period of 36-48 hours of Critical
conditions prior and forecast for continued single digit humidity, a
40 percent delineation was maintained for continuance of this threat
overnight Tuesday into the late morning Wednesday as winds gradually
weaken.

...D3/Wednesday to D4/Thursday High/Southern Plains...
As the western trough ejects across the Plains through the end of
the week (D3/Wednesday through D4/Thursday), periods of dry/windy
conditions are expected across the High/Southern Plains, however,
fuels do not appear supportive of large-fire potential at this time.
ERC forecasts do indicate fuels will dry, particularly across
western Texas into eastern New Mexico, but largely remain below
Critical thresholds. 

...D4/Thursday Florida Peninsula...
A deep long-wave trough will move across the eastern US on
D4/Thursday, with attendant cold front and enhanced west to
northwest flow aloft overspreading portions of the northern and
central Florida Peninsula. Though the strongest flow aloft will
remain to the north, there is potential for breezy surface winds
around 10-15 mph to overlap relative humidity around 35-40 percent
as drier and cooler air filters in behind the front. This region has
received well below normal rainfall in the last 30-60 days, with
ERCs approaching the 80-90th percentile. Rainfall is forecast with
the frontal passage, most potential for wetting rainfall on the
western coast of the peninsula. As winds and relative humidity look
to be more in line with Elevated fire weather concerns and with
potential for rainfall, no areas are needed at this time but trends
will be monitored in the co*ing days given the Critical status of
fuels.

..Thornton.. 12/09/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...