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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1002 AM CST Sat Nov 16 2024

Valid 161700Z - 171200Z

The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed.
Latest observations show wind speeds already increasing to 15-20 mph
with gusts up to 20-30 mph. Similarly, RH values have fallen into
the 20-35% range with some further reduction possible through early
afternoon. Consideration was made for an upgrade to a Critical risk
across parts of New England where conditions are currently the
driest and 20+ mph gusts are being observed. However, wind speeds
are expected to abate slightly through the afternoon away from
terrain features (critical conditions appear most probable in the
lee of Ponco and Catskill mountains).

..Moore.. 11/16/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 PM CST Fri Nov 15 2024/

...Synopsis...
A belt of stronger mid-level winds will be favorably placed across
portions of New England and Mid-Atlantic today. A stronger surface
pressure gradient will also remain across the region. A few hours of
elevated fire weather appear likely. Winds of 10-15 mph and RH
25-40% amid very dry fuels will support large fire potential during
the afternoon. A few stronger gusts are possible as well, but
boundary-layer mixing should be limited enough to keep these gusts
isolated.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html)