SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
[html]SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
Valid 121200Z - 181200Z
A progressive pattern will continue over the CONUS this week into
next weekend. Multiple cold fronts will sweep over the Northeast and
down the West Coast leading to potential fire weather concerns at
times in portions of these regions. Areas in the Great Basin,
Southwest, and southern/central High Plains will likely have
stronger winds overlap lower RH, but fuels will remain a mitigating
factor.
...Southern/Central California...
Gusty northwest winds across portions of southern California will
turn north-northeasterly early Day 3/Tuesday and continue into Day
4/Wednesday. Gusty offshore winds of 25-50 mph are expected Day
3/Tuesday morning but temperatures will be cooler with RH hovering
around elevated thresholds. RH will decrease especially at mid/upper
slopes below critical thresholds with poor RH overnight recovery Day
3/Tuesday evening into Day 4/Wednesday morning, but winds will be
weaker. While the strongest offshore winds and lowest forecast RH
are unlikely to overlap, elevated to locally critical conditions are
possible starting early Day 3/Tuesday morning through Day 3/Tuesday
night.
Behind another cold front, gusty northerly to offshore winds are
possible in southern California and the Central Valley/vicinity next
weekend. Mid/upper slopes around the Bay Area, the foothills
surrounding the Central Valley, and the Transverse Ranges of
southern California are forecast to have gusty north-northeast winds
with lowering RH on Day 7/Saturday - Day 8/Sunday. However, a fair
amount of forecast uncertainty exists regarding the amount of
preceding precipitation and strength of the northerly/offshore
winds.
...Mid-Atlantic and Northeast...
Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely across portions of the
Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Day 4/Wednesday and again on Day
7/Saturday. Precipitation is likely across much of the Mid-Atlantic
and Northeast associated with both frontal passages, but some areas
are likely to receive little and possibly no precipitation in the
next seven days. Given the record high fire danger, drier pockets
will be monitored for including probabilities or outlook areas in
subsequent issuances.
..Nauslar.. 11/10/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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Source: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/)