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Topic: SPC Nov 6, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 11 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Nov 6, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Nov 6, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1028 AM CST Wed Nov 06 2024

Valid 061630Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...

...SUMMARY...
A couple of brief tornadoes will be possible within outermost
fringes of the circulation of Hurricane Rafael, through this
evening, across the Keys and the far southwestern Florida Peninsula.

...South Florida and the Keys...
Hurricane Rafael will track toward/across western Cuba tonight.
Model guidance continues to trend toward weaker low-level wind
fields over south FL and shunting the risk southwestward/offshore.
Will maintain the ongoing risk areas as CAM solutions show a few
discrete cells in the outer bands of the system later this afternoon
and evening.  However, the overall risk appears to be lessening.

..Hart/Smith.. 11/06/2024


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Source: SPC Nov 6, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html)